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New guidebook on 'How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning' published

Exploratory scenario planning (XSP) is a process which can be used for resilience planning, helping managers to make decisions and plans in the face of critical unknowns and unclear futures. Rather than working toward a single vision, practitioners develop distinct potential futures (‘scenarios’) and consider how to measure and prepare for each. Through this process, managers can identify the actors, strategies, contingency plans, and partnerships that will help them achieve their goals under varying future conditions - and adapt to changing factors in real time.

Because it encompasses possibilities rather than assumptions, XSP enables more robust plans than those produced with traditional methods. The practice can support early stages of a strategic planning process by helping participants clarify the issues, strategies, and contingency plans that need to be more fully developed, and it can also help planners test existing strategies against a range of futures to assess the possible outcomes.

Developed by the Lincoln Institute, a new guidebook, ‘How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning (XSP): Navigating an Uncertain Future’, guides participants in how to use the process. Though the details can vary, the XSP process is usually constructed around a series of discussion-based workshops and facilitated by a core leadership team that engages a larger group of stakeholders.

'How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning' features step-by-step templates and six detailed case studies that offer lessons learned from previous applications.

More details.

To read a four-page Policy Brief, which distills key ideas from the manual, click here.

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