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The retirement of large numbers of experienced
workers throughout this decade and beyond is likely to create widespread
skills shortages in many US companies, according to The Conference
Board. This could cause severe business continuity problems, with
companies being unable to find suitable staff for mission critical
roles.
The report is based on a survey of 150 human
resources officers, recent Conference Board meetings with business
executives and ongoing Conference Board research. It finds that
the impending retirement of 77 million baby boomers - the largest
generation in American history - could ‘wreak havoc’
in the large number of firms that do not have action plans to stem
this retirement Tsunami.
"The leading edge of boomers, now in their
mid-50s, are beginning to retire," says Howard Muson, author
of the report, "and not enough people are coming along in the
much smaller Generation X, now 25 to 38 years old, to replace them.
The unprecedented turnover rates in recent years among younger,
mid-career employees will further shrink that pool of qualified
replacements at many companies. There is a real question as to how
many companies are prepared for the retirement Tsunami already underway."
The Conference Board report shows that while
companies devote significant time and money to find replacements
for outgoing CEOs and other top officers, they are expending far
less resources to groom successors for highly-skilled professionals
and making sure that invaluable knowledge is passed on to younger
workers.
Among the 150 companies covered in the report,
66 percent do not keep age profiles of their workers, 63 percent
do not maintain inventory banks listing the firm's available skills
and 49 percent do not assess their companies' training and development
needs.
Conference Board research suggests three major
strategies companies can implement to head off the labour and skill
scarcities:
* HR departments must do a better job of planning future HR and
skill needs.
* Incentives should be devised to entice the best performers with
badly needed skills to delay their retirements until younger people
gain the experience to fill their shoes.
* Companies need to improve strategies for capturing valuable technical
expertise and history before it walks out the door.
The retirement wave will gain momentum as the
US economy recovers. It will reach a tipping point later this decade,
Muson says, when boomers born between 1951 and 1959 - who constitute
almost half the generation - begin to retire in large numbers. While
some older workers are staying on the job because of stock market
losses in IRA and 401(K) accounts, there are not enough of them
to fill the emerging job gap. And, if the economy and stock market
continue improving, these seasoned workers may decide to cash in
their chips and retire after all.
Concludes Muson: "Persuading seasoned,
still-productive workers to extend their careers seems to be the
best alternative to replacing the large numbers who will be eligible
(and financially able) to retire. Since workers in surveys say they'd
like to keep working and earning, companies may well be able to
get through the crisis with people they already have."
Source: The Brain and Experience Drain
Executive Action #65 / The Conference Board
www.conference-board.org

•Date:
26th September 2003 •Region: N.America •Type:
Article •Topic: BC
general
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