Colorado State University publishes 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast
Current El Niño conditions are expected to dissipate by the active part of the 2007 Atlantic basin hurricane season. As a result of this and other favorable factors, Colorado State University forecasts that the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season will be more active than the average 1950-2000 season. University forecasters estimate that 2007 will have ‘about 7 hurricanes (average is 5.9), 14 named storms (average is 9.6), 70 named storm days (average is 49.1), 35 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 3 intense (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 8 intense hurricane days (average is 5.0)’. The probability of major hurricane landfall in the US is estimated to be about 125 percent of the long-period average. Landfall probabilities include: * Entire US coastline: 64 percent (average for last century is 52 percent) * US East Coast, including Peninsula Florida: 40 percent (average for last century is 31 percent) * Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville: 40 percent (average for last century is 30 percent).
•Date: 12th Dec 2006• Region: US •Type: Article •Topic: Warnings |
