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A tropical storm with the potential to develop into a major hurricane has formed in the Atlantic. Florence is currently on a track to possibly make landfall in the United States around the middle of next week. Its track takes it over sea for the whole period, meaning that it is likely to hit with full force and this may be fairly high up the east coast. However, many storms on such a trajectory follow a curve which takes them back out into the Atlantic. An example of a storm which failed to follow the usual pattern was the 1938 hurricane which severely impacted the New York area. There are no current indications that Florence will be a rogue storm, but the possibility exists, hence the need to watch forecasts carefully over the next few days.
Current forecast probabilities are that there is a 65 percent likelihood that the storm will be at hurricane force within 72 hours; 35 percent chance that it will be a category one at that stage, 15 percent chance that it will be category two or three and a 5 percent chance that it will be a category four or five storm.
Latest forecasts: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Continuity Central has opened an update page which will be populated should the situation develop.
•Date: 6th September 2006• Region: US •Type: Article •Topic: DR general
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